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Learnings Mental Models

Understanding Confidence Intervals: Navigating Decision-Making with Statistical Precision

Introduction The Confidence Interval (CI) is a vital statistical tool that quantifies the uncertainty associated with an estimate. It provides a range within which the true value is likely to fall, giving decision-makers a measure of confidence in their conclusions. This mental model is deeply rooted in human psychology as we seek certainty in our […]

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Learnings Mental Models

Understanding the Central Limit Theorem: Navigating Decision-Making with Statistical Power

Introduction The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a fundamental concept in statistics that holds great relevance in decision-making processes. It states that when independent random variables are added, their sum tends to follow a normal distribution, regardless of the shape of the original variables’ distribution. This mental model is anchored in human psychology as we […]